Analysis | What Democrats need to do to maintain power in 2022 – The Washington Post

Before the 2010 Republican wave, Republicans trying to take back the House under similar circumstances calculated that if President Barack Obama’s approval rating was at or below 46 percent, they’d have a good night, said Doug Heye, the communications director for the Republican National Committee at the time. Obama was at 44 or 45 percent the week of the election, and Republicans ended up winning 63 swing districts, giving them control of the House.

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