Trump’s Mid-October Poll Surge Surfaced 2 Weeks Ago in Predictive Markets

Experts question if the former president’s big leads on betting sites reflect how close the race is or if a few multimillion-dollar wagers are skewing the odds. According to FiveThirtyEight’s Oct. 22 aggregate of opinion polls, Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump are in a tight race—49 percent to 51