Latino Voter Support for Trump Grew in 2024: National Exit Poll

According to the results of the National Election Pool Exit Poll, former President Donald Trump is receiving more support from Latino voters in 2024 than he did in 2020.

According to the national sample collected by the NEP Exit Poll, conducted by Edison Research on Nov. 5, Trump’s support among Latino voters grew by 13 percentage points between 2020 and 2024.

The results are considered preliminary and will be updated as results continue to arrive.

By race, according to the poll, white voters tended to say they voted for Trump, while minority voters more often said they cast their ballots for Vice President Kamala Harris.

Among white voters, Trump leads Harris by 12 percentage points. However, Harris holds a commanding lead with black voters.

Black Americans told the NEP pollsters they prefer Harris over Trump by a 75 percentage point margin.

The lead is smaller among other races.

Latino voters said they broke for Harris by an 8 percentage point margin, while Asian voters said they supported Harris over Trump by an 18 percentage point margin.

However, among those who said their racial group did not fall into any of these categories, Trump is winning by 12 percentage points.

By gender, more men are backing Trump while more women are supporting Harris. According to the poll, Trump leads among men by 9 percentage points, while Harris leads with women by 12 percentage points.

By religion, respondents who identified as Catholic or Protestant are more likely to say they voted for Trump.

In contrast, more of those who identified themselves as Jewish, another religion, or not following any religion said they voted for Harris.

Among Protestants, Trump leads Harris by 24 percentage points. With Catholics, he leads the Democrat candidate by 56 percentage points.

Harris leads among Jewish voters by 56 percentage points, with those who adhere to another religion by 28 percentage points, and among those who said they do not have a religion by 47 percentage points.

By income, among respondents who said they are making less than $50,00 a year, Harris was preferred over Trump by 1 percentage point.

With those who said they are making more than $100,000 a year, Harris is leading by 7 percentage points.

Trump is ahead of Harris among voters making between $50,000 and $100,000 annually by 2 percentage points.

More younger voters and voters over the age of 65 said they preferred Harris over Trump.

Harris’s widest lead is among voters aged 18 to 29, by 13 percentage points.

Among voters between the ages of 30 and 44, Harris has a 7 percentage point advantage over Trump. With voters over the age of 65, she holds a slight one percentage point advantage.

Trump is leading Harris among voters aged 45 to 64, by 6 percentage points.

With Americans who said they switched their vote from one party to another, Trump is leading.

According to the exit poll, 5 percent of respondents said they switched their vote from President Joe Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024.

By comparison, 4 percent of the respondents said they voted for Harris in 2024 and Trump in 2020.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, black voters said they supported Harris over Trump by a wide margin, while more white voters said they voted for Trump.

Among black respondents, Harris leads Trump by 75 percentage points.

With white respondents, Trump leads Harris by 22 percent.

Harris is leading Trump with Latino voters by a 2 percentage point margin in the state.

An equal percentage of respondents who voted for either side told exit pollsters they switched their vote from one party to another in 2024.

All told, 3 percent of respondents said they switched from Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024, and another 3 percent of respondents said they moved from Trump in 2020 to Harris in 2024.

Pollsters asked North Carolina voters about Hurricane Helene, which heavily affected the western portion of the Tar Heel State, “Is federal hurricane aid going to the people who need it?”

Forty-nine percent of respondents agreed, whereas 46 percent disagreed.

Respondents who said “Yes” to the hurricane relief question were much more likely to be Harris supporters than Trump supporters, according to the poll.

Among that group, Harris is preferred over Trump by a 59 percent margin. Trump leads Harris by 62 percent among voters who said “No” to the question.

Pennsylvania

In Pennsylvania, respondents were asked questions about their membership in a union and their stance on fracking.

Among union households, Harris leads Trump by a 13-point margin, with 56 percent of this group saying they voted for Harris and 43 percent for Trump.

As for fracking, 55 percent of respondents said they “favor fracking in Pennsylvania,” and 37 percent said they oppose it.

Among those who favor fracking, Trump leads Harris by a 50-point margin. Conversely, Harris leads Trump by a 63-point margin among those who oppose fracking.