‘US presidential election markets are legal. Officially. Finally. Kalshi prevails,’ Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said on social media.
A federal appeals court has rejected an attempt by U.S. financial regulators to block derivatives trading platform Kalshi from offering contracts that let people make speculative bets on the outcome of U.S. elections.
Circuit Judge Patricia Millett, writing for the three-judge panel, said the CFTC had not demonstrated sufficient evidence that the contracts would cause irreparable harm to the public or undermine the integrity of U.S. elections while the CFTC’s appeal is heard.
“Because the Commission has failed at this time to demonstrate that it or the public will be irreparably injured absent a stay, we deny its motion without prejudice to renewal should more concrete evidence of irreparable harm develop during the pendency of this appeal,” Millett wrote in the opinion.
Kalshi’s “Congressional Control Contracts” allow investors to bet on which political party will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives or Senate in federal elections. The CFTC argued that such contracts amount to illegal gambling or gaming and are prohibited under state laws.
The court found that the regulatory agency failed to substantiate claims that the contracts would lead to market manipulation or distort election outcomes.
During a Sept. 19 hearing, the three-judge appellate panel weighed the future of the derivatives trading platform’s “Congressional Race Contracts” after hearing arguments from both sides for more than two hours.
CFTC General Counsel Rob Schwartz argued that without a stay, the public could be exposed to profound harm, citing concerns that allowing individuals to wager up to $100 million on the outcomes of elections could lead to manipulation. He warned of potential public mistrust, particularly during a time when many Americans already feel democracy is under threat.
Kalshi’s attorney, Yaakov Roth, countered that the CFTC failed to meet the legal thresholds for a stay, arguing that there was no evidence of irreparable harm and that the commission had not demonstrated the merit of its case.
The hearing also delved into broader legal questions, including whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws and how federal and state regulations intersect in governing event markets.
On Wednesday, the appeals court acknowledged that the concerns raised by the CFTC are “understandable” given the potential impact of the “Congressional Control Contracts” on election integrity, which the court described as “the very lynchpin of our democracy.”
“But whether the statutory text allows the Commission to bar such event contracts is debatable, and the Commission has not substantiated that risks to election integrity are likely to materialize if Kalshi is allowed to operate its exchange during the pendency of this appeal,” the court’s opinion reads.
The ruling clears the way for Kalshi to offer election-related contracts on its platform, pending further legal proceedings.
Kalshi CEO and co-founder Tarek Mansour took to social media to praise the decision.
The CFTC did not respond to a request for comment on the latest ruling by publication time.
Better Markets, a nonprofit that promotes public interest in financial markets, issued a critical response to Cobb’s Sept. 12 ruling.
John Haughey contributed to this report.
Original News Source Link – Epoch Times
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